Aviation Incident

Hazard in Transportation Incidents

A rare but mass-casualty-capable hazard at or near airports and along flight paths.

Plans also call it: plane crash, aircraft accident, aircraft crash, aviation disaster, airport emergency

Talk to us about Aviation IncidentAll 73 hazards →

What you’d hand your council

The first page of a Aviation Incident evidence brief: likelihood, impact and readiness on your own scale, every figure sourced.

Evidence brief for Cedar Ridge County (example)

September 14, 2026

Aviation Incident

Hazard in Transportation Incidents, on the established threats & hazards list

Impact
5432112345

Likelihood

Likelihood
3

Possible — Expected occasionally — roughly once in 10 to 50 years (2–10% chance in any year).

Impact
3

Moderate — Notable effects — injuries possible, damage in multiple areas, essential services disrupted for days.

Readiness
4

High — The organization has a well-developed capability to manage this threat or hazard. Plans, personnel, resources, and skills are largely in place, and the capability has been meaningfully tested or demonstrated. Remaining gaps are unlikely to significantly impair performance.

  • 2source documents
  • 58verified mentions
  • —federal declarations
  • —NRI risk score
Worked example: Cedar Ridge County is fictional. The scores illustrate the format and are nobody's decision. Open a full sample brief →

The national record

FEMA’s National Risk Index doesn’t model Aviation Incident. Your team fills it with local evidence, and Hazzard shows the gap rather than a zero.

How it maps

The same hazard in the vocabularies your plan and FEMA already use.

FEMA National Risk Index
Not covered
FEMA declaration incident type
Not covered
NOAA Storm Events type
Not covered
Hazzard category
Transportation Incidents, infrastructure and technology

The national record

What the federal data says about Aviation Incident: nothing yet

No federal dataset scores Aviation Incident or files declarations under it. That's common for threats and emerging hazards, and it's why a brief for Aviation Incident is built from your own plans, exercises and records. Hazzard shows the gap instead of inventing a number.

In your plan

What a Aviation Incident profile needs, and where each part comes from

A local hazard mitigation plan profiles each hazard the same way (44 CFR 201.6). Here is how Hazzard fills each part for Aviation Incident.

  1. Location

    44 CFR 201.6(c)(2)(i)

    Your documents

    No national layer maps Aviation Incident. We draw the geographic extent from your plans, studies and annexes, cited to the page.

  2. Extent

    44 CFR 201.6(c)(2)(i)

    Your documents

    The magnitude your plans use for Aviation Incident (a scale, a depth, an acreage, a duration), read from your documents and cited, so the profile states the strength you plan for.

  3. Previous occurrences

    44 CFR 201.6(c)(2)(i)

    Your documents

    FEMA files no declaration type for Aviation Incident. The history comes from your after-action reports, incident records and plans.

  4. Probability of future events

    44 CFR 201.6(c)(2)(i)

    Your team decides

    No national dataset gives a frequency for Aviation Incident. Your team scores likelihood on your scale from the evidence we organize.

  5. Vulnerability and impacts

    44 CFR 201.6(c)(2)(ii)

    Your documents

    The Census population profile and HHS emPOWER counts for context; the consequences themselves come from your plans and exercises.

  6. The assessment itself

    Your team decides

    Likelihood, impact and readiness for Aviation Incident are drafted with every source attached, and a person on your team accepts each one. Hazzard never records a score on its own.

How we can help

How we’d help you prepare for Aviation Incident

  1. 1

    We start from what you own

    Your EOP, corridor and exercise material, read so every statement about Aviation Incident points to its page.

  2. 2

    We add the context around it

    Population and access-and-functional-needs figures that shape consequence, and an honest note where the national record has nothing.

  3. 3

    You leave with a cited brief

    Likelihood, impact and readiness for Aviation Incident on your own scale, every figure tied to its source, ready for the planning team or the council.

Also in Transportation Incidents

Preparing for Aviation Incident

Put Aviation Incident on the list with evidence, not just a line item.

Transportation incidents rarely have a federal risk score, so plans tend to name them and move on. We give them the same cited treatment as the natural hazards around them. A person replies within one business day.

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