Violence and Physical Attack

5 hazards · Human-caused and societal

Threats that arrive with intent.

Mass-casualty attacks, explosives, hostage incidents, targeted violence and drone activity. They wear a shield instead of a square because they are planned against, not forecast — and most natural-hazard tools have no room for them at all.

What you’d hand your council

The first page of an evidence brief for Targeted Violence, one of the 5 hazards here. There is one for every hazard your team prepares for.

Evidence brief for Cedar Ridge County (example)

September 14, 2026

Targeted Violence

Threat in Violence and Physical Attack, on the established threats & hazards list

Impact
5432112345

Likelihood

Likelihood
4

Likely — Expected within the decade — roughly once in 1 to 10 years (10–100% chance in any year).

Impact
4

Major — Severe effects — casualties possible, serious damage across a significant share of the jurisdiction, essential services disrupted for weeks, outside assistance needed.

Readiness
2

Low — Some elements of capability are in place, but important gaps remain that could significantly limit the organization's ability to perform effectively. Additional development is needed before the capability can be relied upon.

  • 2source documents
  • 58verified mentions
  • —federal declarations
  • —NRI risk score
Worked example: Cedar Ridge County is fictional. The scores illustrate the format and are nobody's decision. Open a full sample brief →

How we can help

How we’d help you prepare for Violence and Physical Attack

  1. 1

    We start from what you own

    Your EOP, threat assessments, exercise and after-action reports, read and filed so every statement about Violence and Physical Attack points to its page.

  2. 2

    We show the gap honestly

    Where the national record is silent, the brief says so, and your team's local evidence carries the score instead of a zero.

  3. 3

    You leave with a cited brief

    Likelihood, impact and readiness for Violence and Physical Attack on your own scale, every figure tied to its source, ready for the planning team or the council.

Preparing for Violence and Physical Attack

Assess Violence and Physical Attack with the evidence you hold, carefully organized.

No federal dataset scores targeted violence for your county, and a brief that pretended otherwise would not survive the first question. We build the assessment from your own plans, exercises and after-action reports. A person replies within one business day.

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